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Source document· March 12, 2026

‘Inflation is the skunk at the party’: JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns markets ignoring risk. How to prepare

View original at finance.yahoo.com
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  • Real estate accounts for nearly 25% of the typical family office portfolio

    60% confidence
  • Asset prices are kind of high, credits are kind of low, there's a lot of complacency in the market

    60% confidence
  • Inflation is the skunk at the party. It's been coming down, but it seems to maybe have leveled off around 3%.

    60% confidence
  • One asset will surge 400% in a year

    60% confidence
  • We look at the broad range of outcomes

    60% confidence
  • Goldman Sachs is forecasting just 3% annual returns from 2024 to 2034

    60% confidence
  • Gold prices have increased about 9% per year on average since 1971, roughly matching long-term equity returns and outpacing bonds over the same period

    60% confidence
  • S&P 500 will deliver around 5% annual returns

    60% confidence
  • Inflation pressures extend beyond oil to medical prices, construction prices, insurance prices, and wages

    60% confidence
  • Vanguard is projecting around 5% annual returns for S&P 500

    60% confidence
  • Inflation is the skunk at the party and has leveled off around 3% after coming down

    60% confidence
  • S&P 500 will deliver just 3% annual returns from 2024 to 2034

    60% confidence
  • Investors may be underestimating the risks still lurking in the global economy

    60% confidence
  • You can look at medical prices, construction prices, insurance prices, wages for certain things. Inflation is a big thing. It's not just oil.

    60% confidence
  • Asset prices are kind of high, credits are kind of low. There's a lot of complacency in the market.

    60% confidence
  • We look at the broad range of outcomes

    60% confidence
  • Markets appear unusually comfortable despite persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainty

    60% confidence

Data points we hold from this source

UBS Group AG · real estate allocation25 percent
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
ESMO 2026 Oncology Data Wave Builds Toward Ivonescimab PDUFA, While Micro-Cap Biotech Exits the Market
Late October 2026 is a dense catalyst window led by ESMO 2026. Daiichi Sankyo's DXd antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) programs (DESTINY-Lung04, DESTINY-Breast11, REJOICE-Ovarian01/02, TUXEDO-3), Guardant's 25 abstracts and the PACE-LUNG ctDNA trial all report there. These feed into the FDA's 14 November 2026 PDUFA date for ivonescimab. Large and mid-cap developers with late-stage data and commercial launches (ZEGFROVY, ANKTIVA, MIUDELLA, lorundrostat, duvakitug) are drawing capital and attention. Spago Nanomedical's board decision to seek a Nasdaq First North delisting (EGM 19 November, application 25 January 2027) shows the capital squeeze on early-stage, single-asset names (Tumorad is Phase I).
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
EPKINLY Regulatory-Clinical Success Cascade
High probability of expanded label indications, additional combination approvals, and competitive positioning strength in follicular lymphoma market. Predicts positive commercial uptake and potential accelerated review for related indications.
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Ford Motor Company
Both facts give cash for Ford Motor Company at the same point in time (2025-12-31; FY 2025 year-end and Q4 2025 year-end are the same date). Both are labelled USD, but the values are 23,356,000,000 and 23.356, which cannot both be true in USD. The two numbers agree once the second is read as billions (23.356 bn = 23,356,000,000), so the economic content is consistent and the conflict is a unit/scale error in the Q4 2025 record. The period is not the reason for the conflict: a Q4 and an FY figure at the same year-end date should match.
We flag conflicts openly ›
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