Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Source trace. Via News points to the documents behind its reporting and shows what we drew from each — so you can check any claim. How we source
Source document· June 29, 2026

Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers

View original at finance.yahoo.com
Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers (Bloomberg) -- Even as prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi surged into the global mainstream in recent years, Japan — like its Asian neighbors China and South Korea — remained a no-go zone due to strict anti-gambling regulations…
Opening lines of the source · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

What we drew from this source

The claims Via News extracted from this document. We point to the source; we don't replace it.

  • Miraima is seven months old and is Japan's largest prediction market platform, spearheaded by Gen Z entrepreneurs

    60% confidence
  • Japan's nascent prediction market platforms are closely modeled on Polymarket and Kalshi in that they enable users to bet on outcomes of live events, but unlike those platforms no money changes hands — the entire system is built on non-monetary virtual tokens

    60% confidence
  • Prediction market apps are addictive; he has earned more than 10,000 yen a month in points on Miraima and similar apps

    60% confidence
  • Japan, like China and South Korea, remained a no-go zone for prediction platforms due to strict anti-gambling regulations, but new startups are finding ways to skirt the rules

    60% confidence
  • Japan's pachinko industry is worth approximately $100 billion and employs an indirect payout system that prediction market apps emulate as a legal workaround

    60% confidence
  • Miraima has amassed close to 1 million monthly users since its debut in November, helped by interest in recent sporting events like the World Cup

    60% confidence
  • He compulsively opens the prediction apps whenever he has a spare moment or when there is news that might move the odds

    60% confidence
What we know · the intelligence behind this page
Live from the substrate
What we're seeing
The Agentic Takeover of the CFO's Office
Enterprise finance software vendors—BlackLine, OneStream, Numero AI, and Oracle—are racing to embed autonomous AI agents into core financial operations (close, consolidation, reporting), backed by consolidation M&A (Numero-Royu, BlackLine-WiseLayer), fresh leadership hires, and survey data showing nearly a quarter of CFOs plan to boost AI spending over 50%. Adoption momentum is strong even as at least one bellwether (Oracle) sees its stock lag year-to-date, suggesting the market hasn't yet fully priced in the shift from AI-as-feature to AI-as-agent in finance.
Our read on the data ›
Signals we're tracking
Satellite-Terrestrial Network Integration Acceleration
Increased investment and launches in hybrid satellite-cellular networks across telecom industry; competitive responses from other carriers; regulatory activity around satellite spectrum; expansion of emergency/rural connectivity use cases
Patterns we're watching ›
Where sources disagree
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Two significantly different EPS values (10.21 vs 2.68 USD_per_share) are reported for Morgan Stanley on the same observation date (2025-12-31). Fact A specifies FY 2025, while Fact B's 'N/A' fiscal period is ambiguous. If both represent FY 2025 annual EPS, these values directly conflict. The magnitude of the difference (3.8x) is too large to attribute to rounding or minor calculation variations. The missing fiscal period in Fact B raises data quality concerns, but same-date observation + same attribute should reference the same period.
We flag conflicts openly ›
Recently verified
✓ Checked against the original source
4,984
facts traced to their source — and we flag the ones that don't hold up.
101 entities tracked4,984 facts checked against source5,314 source documents archived
Query this data → isubstrate.com
Prediction Markets Emerge in Japan, With Shopping Vouchers — Source | Via News | Finance Via News