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Source document· March 6, 2026

Stocks Retreat Amid Inflation Fears and Weak US Jobs

View original at nasdaq.com
Stocks Retreat Amid Inflation Fears and Weak US Jobs The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is down -0.95%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -1.00%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -0.76%…
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  • The war in the Middle East could bring down the economies of the world

    80% confidence
  • Real-time risk premium for crude oil is $18 per barrel, corresponding to estimate of impact from six-week full halt to tanker traffic in Strait of Hormuz

    80% confidence
  • Year-over-year revenue growth rate will accelerate each quarter throughout fiscal 2027

    80% confidence
  • Ships sailing through Strait of Hormuz could be at risk from missiles or rogue drones

    80% confidence
  • The Iran war is unlikely to cause sustained inflation, which is why the Fed looks at core prices excluding energy as a better predictor of future inflation

    80% confidence
  • Excluding the Magnificent Seven megacap technology stocks, Q4 earnings are expected to increase by 4.6%

    80% confidence
  • S&P earnings growth is expected to climb by 8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth

    80% confidence
  • All Gulf energy exporters would shut down production within weeks, driving crude oil prices to $150 per barrel

    80% confidence
  • US doesn't want to negotiate an end to the war with Iran and there will be no deal with Iran except unconditional surrender

    80% confidence

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Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Two significantly different EPS values (10.21 vs 2.68 USD_per_share) are reported for Morgan Stanley on the same observation date (2025-12-31). Fact A specifies FY 2025, while Fact B's 'N/A' fiscal period is ambiguous. If both represent FY 2025 annual EPS, these values directly conflict. The magnitude of the difference (3.8x) is too large to attribute to rounding or minor calculation variations. The missing fiscal period in Fact B raises data quality concerns, but same-date observation + same attribute should reference the same period.
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