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Source document· April 17, 2026

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Soar to Record Highs as Middle East Tensions Ease

View original at nasdaq.com
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Soar to Record Highs as Middle East Tensions Ease The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +1.28%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +2.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +1.326%…
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  • June is a better moment than April to decide whether an ECB interest rate response to the Iran war is necessary

    60% confidence
  • President Trump might travel to Pakistan if a deal with Iran is clinched

    60% confidence
  • Risks to the price outlook are tilted to the upside, especially in the near term, while the medium-term implications will depend on the intensity and duration of the war

    60% confidence
  • Iran made key concessions in an ongoing negotiation to end the seven-week war

    60% confidence
  • Q1 S&P 500 earnings projected to climb +12% y/y, and stripping out the technology sector, Q1 earnings are projected to increase around +3%, the weakest in two years

    60% confidence
  • The US naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz will remain in full force until a deal is fully agreed

    60% confidence
  • The ECB needs to stay vigilant to potential inflation risks from the Iran war, but there is no obvious case to raise rates

    60% confidence
  • The US and Iran are negotiating over a plan to end the war, with one element under discussion being that the US would release $20 billion in frozen Iranian assets in return for Iran giving up its stockpile of enriched uranium

    60% confidence

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Exxon Mobil Corporation · stock return-6 percent

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Two significantly different EPS values (10.21 vs 2.68 USD_per_share) are reported for Morgan Stanley on the same observation date (2025-12-31). Fact A specifies FY 2025, while Fact B's 'N/A' fiscal period is ambiguous. If both represent FY 2025 annual EPS, these values directly conflict. The magnitude of the difference (3.8x) is too large to attribute to rounding or minor calculation variations. The missing fiscal period in Fact B raises data quality concerns, but same-date observation + same attribute should reference the same period.
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