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News articleNasdaq· May 12, 2026

Weak Stocks and Crude Oil Strength Lift the Dollar

Weak Stocks and Crude Oil Strength Lift the Dollar The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.34%…

Opening lines of the source · Nasdaq · short snapshot — read the full document at the original

What we drew from this source

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The United States has an inflation problem
60% confidence
Swaps price an 87% chance of a +25bp ECB rate hike at the next policy meeting on June 11
60% confidence
Markets price a 75% chance of a 25bp BOJ rate hike at the next policy meeting on June 16
60% confidence
The current US-Iran ceasefire is on 'life support'
60% confidence
Inflation risks in the Eurozone are worsening, pointing toward an ECB interest rate hike in June
60% confidence
The worst part of the April CPI report is services inflation
60% confidence
It is quite possible the BOJ will raise the policy interest rate from the next meeting onward, even amid ongoing Middle East uncertainty
60% confidence
Swaps markets discount 4% odds of a 25bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting on June 16-17
60% confidence
Japan imports more than 90% of its energy needs, making it vulnerable to crude oil price increases
60% confidence
Current conditions point to an ECB interest rate hike in June
60% confidence
The Federal Reserve must think about how to break the chain of escalating inflation
60% confidence
US April CPI rose +3.8% y/y, the fastest pace in almost three years; core CPI rose +2.8% y/y, the largest increase in six months
60% confidence
PBOC gold reserves rose +260,000 troy ounces to 74.64 million troy ounces in April — the largest monthly increase in a year and the 18th consecutive monthly increase
60% confidence